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Rankings
#15 of 108 in Division 6
#7 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #16 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D6 (+115 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 34-7 A #25 Marion Local (8-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 31 (8%), perf. rating 127
08/28 L 21-17 H #274 Galion (4-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 105
09/04 W 41-7 A #445 Lucas (4-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 141
09/11 W 49-14 H #419 Upper Sandusky (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (92%), perf. rating 142
09/18 W 16-0 H #318 Colonel Crawford (4-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (77%), perf. rating 129
09/25 W 35-0 A #535 Calvert (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 128
10/02 W 8-7 H #241 Seneca East (6-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 116
10/09 L 42-14 A #109 Hopewell-Loudon (8-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (21%), perf. rating 97
10/16 A #253 Mohawk (7-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/23 H #550 Willard (3-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 92% home, 7% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.95 (14.55-17.70) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#8), Patrick Henry (5-3) 29%
Lose: 13.35 (10.95-14.10) 99% in, 81% home, proj. #8 (#6-out), Allen East (5-3) 46%
Based on eventual number of wins
(55%) 7W: 16.95 (15.65-17.70) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Patrick Henry (5-3) 29%
(44%) 6W: 13.35 (12.15-15.70) 100% in, 82% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Allen East (5-3) 46%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(55%) WW: 16.95 (15.65-17.70) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Patrick Henry (5-3) 29%
(44%) LW: 13.35 (12.15-14.10) 100% in, 82% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Allen East (5-3) 47%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 122.0, #203, D6 #14), likely in, 93% home, 18% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 124.5, #189, D6 #11), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 125.8, #184, D6 #11), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 35% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 125.3, #179, D6 #11), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 122.1, #206, D6 #15), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (0-2, 121.7, #210, D6 #14), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 122.2, #201, D6 #14), 75% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 32% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 122.8, #191, D6 #13), 73% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 127.9