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Rankings
#13 of 107 in Division 6
#5 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #9 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #32 Marion Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 31 (8%)
08/28 H #108 Galion (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 12 (27%)
09/04 A #492 Lucas (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 32 (96%)
09/11 H #417 Upper Sandusky (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 H #176 Colonel Crawford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 A #426 Calvert (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 H #286 Seneca East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/09 A #122 Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/16 A #284 Mohawk (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 H #616 Willard (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 45 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
13.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
72% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.65 ( 1.80-30.75) 96% in, 88% home, 70% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 73%
Lose: 13.05 ( 0.00-27.50) 70% in, 51% home, 26% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 37%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 26.00 (20.00-30.75) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 8%) 9W: 22.80 (16.30-27.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(15%) 8W: 19.65 (13.30-25.00) 100% in, 99% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#12), bye 84%
(19%) 7W: 16.30 (10.80-21.00) 99% in, 95% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 33%
(18%) 6W: 13.10 ( 8.25-18.55) 96% in, 53% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(15%) 5W: 10.20 ( 5.95-15.50) 61% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Woodmore (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 7.55 ( 3.60-12.00) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Seneca East (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 3W: 5.30 ( 2.30- 9.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.40 ( 0.80- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.35- 4.60) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 5%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 4%
Paulding (0-0) 4%
Woodmore (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 12%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 11%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Delta (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 122.8, #191, D6 #13), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 127.9