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Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#70 of 108 in Division 6
#21 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #46 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D6 (-334 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-20 A #627 Cardington-Lincoln (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 74
08/28 L 34-0 A #393 East Knox (4-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 47
09/04 L 48-7 A #406 Upper Sandusky (3-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 35
09/11 W 41-6 H #656 Buckeye Central (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 10 (72%), perf. rating 89
09/18 L 48-14 A #137 Hopewell-Loudon (7-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 45 (1%), perf. rating 84
09/25 L 35-7 H #242 Mohawk (6-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 73
10/02 L 33-27 H #325 Colonel Crawford (4-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 94
10/09 A #590 Bucyrus (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 A #563 Willard (3-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/23 H #453 Lucas (4-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.25 ( 2.65- 7.55) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.45 ( 1.10- 5.30) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(17%) 5W: 6.10 ( 6.10- 7.55) out, proj. out
(39%) 4W: 4.25 ( 4.25- 5.95) out, proj. out
(32%) 3W: 2.65 ( 2.65- 3.75) out, proj. out
(12%) 2W: 1.10 ( 1.10- 1.85) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(17%) WWW: 6.10 ( 6.10- 7.55) out
( 2%) LWW: 4.55 ( 4.55- 5.30) out
( 5%) WLW: 4.50 ( 4.50- 5.35) out
(32%) WWL: 4.25 ( 4.25- 5.95) out
( 1%) LLW: 2.95 ( 2.95- 3.65) out
( 8%) LWL: 2.70 ( 2.70- 3.70) out
(23%) WLL: 2.65 ( 2.65- 3.75) out
(12%) LLL: 1.10 ( 1.10- 1.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 73.5, #538, D6 #70), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (2-4, 68.2, #562, D6 #76), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 68.7, #559, D6 #76), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 70.6, #555, D6 #79), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 66.3, #574, D6 #79), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 64.1, #590, D6 #85), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 82.3, #480, D6 #61), 20% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 76.0, #523, D6 #67), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 76.9