Region 22 home page
Region 22 projections
Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 22 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#67 of 107 in Division 6
#22 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #55 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #544 Cardington-Lincoln (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 2 (54%)
08/28 A #534 East Knox (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 A #417 Upper Sandusky (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 19 (14%)
09/11 H #627 Buckeye Central (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (91%)
09/18 A #122 Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/25 H #284 Mohawk (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/02 H #176 Colonel Crawford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/09 A #651 Bucyrus (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 A #616 Willard (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/23 H #492 Lucas (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.20 ( 0.40-22.50) 24% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Lose: 3.45 ( 0.00-18.95) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 15.80 (12.05-22.10) 99% in, 85% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 21%
( 5%) 8W: 12.80 ( 8.70-17.50) 92% in, 40% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
(10%) 7W: 10.40 ( 6.70-16.20) 57% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 8.25 ( 4.65-13.10) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 6.45 ( 3.35-12.50) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Van Buren (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 4.90 ( 2.40-10.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(15%) 3W: 3.35 ( 1.15- 7.35) out, proj. out
(11%) 2W: 1.95 ( 0.75- 5.45) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 25%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 15%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 6%
Carey (0-0) 5%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 76.0, #523, D6 #67), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 76.9